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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| zerosmart | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (61–64, n=125) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $876K | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=26 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 137 at avg 46¢, ROI +29% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 13% of 45) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 37% of 30) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 60% of 30) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 91% of 32) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | zerosmart | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $37K | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $71K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $6.1K | No $40K | — |