Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 85% (5341–913, n=6254) · PM monthly #534 · holds 24 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$25.3K
Record
5341W / 913L
Win Rate
85.0%
of 6254 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#348
Source
PM monthly #534
Record (90 d)
1743/2957 · 59%
Trades
6,263
Markets
13,339
Volume
$1.1M
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Top consensus positions
24 in listed consensus markets · 13 of 24 on the consensus side (54%)- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under $828 · now 72¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (58% of 32)
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?No $378 · now 55¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (72% of 48)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?No $234 · now 50¢ · in at 77¢with the consensus (50% of 9)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Under $58 · now 34¢ · in at 26¢against the consensus (Over)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo $47 · now 71¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (58% of 20)
- Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?Yes $33 · now 18¢ · in at 30¢against the consensus (No)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over $27 · now 28¢ · in at 7¢against the consensus (Under)
- Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under $24 · now 90¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
Specialties
608 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 68¢- Soccer
+32 pts
side won 100% of 517 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +29%
- Tennis
+25 pts
side won 100% of 45 · avg entry 75¢
ROI +19%
- MLB
+30 pts
side won 100% of 15 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +28%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 100% of 53)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 100% of 96)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 99% of 137)
- 70¢ and up: 53%(won 100% of 322)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.