Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Dylan Dietrich — but Marcos Giron won instead.

Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Dylan Dietrich

Resolved Marcos Giron. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Dylan Dietrich. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Dylan Dietrich 67%

Total Value

$500.89

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

Dylan Dietrich

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Marcos Giron100%

Dylan Dietrich0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Dylan Dietrich9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,145

Combined PnL$-2.0K

Marcos Giron4 traders

Total Value$500.89

Total Shares501

Combined PnL+$307.66

Dylan Dietrich — 69%Marcos Giron — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Dylan Dietrichavg 62.2¢	$871.65	—	-$871.65	51% 23440-22208 (45648)
38 38791873984189CTR	Dylan Dietrichavg 62.3¢	$786.24	—	-$786.24	48% 14412-15920 (30332)
VeryLucky888CTR	Dylan Dietrichavg 63¢	$166.15	—	-$137.35	58% 44668-32527 (77195)
65 6512395314597884	Marcos Gironavg 37¢	$109.32	$295.47	+$186.14	51% 4510-4384 (8894)
0xheavy888CTR<$100	Dylan Dietrichavg 63.7¢	$76.48	—	-$75.88	56% 7605-6096 (13701)
UP UpTheBlues	Marcos Gironavg 41¢	$55.52	$135.42	+$76.51	58% 49573-35681 (85254)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Dylan Dietrichavg 67.5¢	$48.95	—	-$48.95	50% 20222-20549 (40771)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Dylan Dietrichavg 66.1¢	$33.07	—	-$33.07	52% 847-783 (1630)
1L 1lovejump<$100	Marcos Gironavg 35¢	$17.5	$50	+$32.5	52% 705-645 (1350)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100	Dylan Dietrichavg 65¢	$9.97	—	-$9.97	74% 2373-823 (3196)
LI Lilybaeum<$100	Marcos Gironavg 40¢	$8	$20	+$12.5	61% 13947-8981 (22928)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Dylan Dietrichavg 63¢	$3.15	—	-$3.15	52% 8478-7730 (16208)
AU austrCTR	Dylan Dietrichavg 66.9¢	$203.42	—	-$15.72	64% 592-340 (932)

Invested

$871.65

Value

—

PnL

-$871.65

Record

51%

23440-22208 (45648)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$786.24

Value

—

PnL

-$786.24

Record

48%

14412-15920 (30332)

VeryLucky888CTR

Invested

$166.15

Value

—

PnL

-$137.35

Record

58%

44668-32527 (77195)

6512395314597884

Invested

$109.32

Value

$295.47

PnL

+$186.14

Record

51%

4510-4384 (8894)

0xheavy888CTR<$100

Invested

$76.48

Value

—

PnL

-$75.88

Record

56%

7605-6096 (13701)

Invested

$55.52

Value

$135.42

PnL

+$76.51

Record

58%

49573-35681 (85254)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Invested

$48.95

Value

—

PnL

-$48.95

Record

50%

20222-20549 (40771)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Invested

$33.07

Value

—

PnL

-$33.07

Record

52%

847-783 (1630)

Invested

$17.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$32.5

Record

52%

705-645 (1350)

rayvanmechelenCTR<$100

Invested

$9.97

Value

—

PnL

-$9.97

Record

74%

2373-823 (3196)

Invested

$8

Value

$20

PnL

+$12.5

Record

61%

13947-8981 (22928)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Invested

$3.15

Value

—

PnL

-$3.15

Record

52%

8478-7730 (16208)

Invested

$203.42

Value

—

PnL

-$15.72

Record

64%

592-340 (932)

Smart Money Signal

Dylan Dietrich

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x708d9ee8...69dc5a

Slug

atp-giron-dietric-2026-11-02

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

Dylan Dietrich — $0

38791873984189

Dylan Dietrich — $0

VeryLucky888

Dylan Dietrich — $0

6512395314597884

Marcos Giron — $295.47

0xheavy888

Dylan Dietrich — $0

UpTheBlues

Marcos Giron — $135.42

omnibus-076daa

Dylan Dietrich — $0

MadridTime

Dylan Dietrich — $0

1lovejump

Marcos Giron — $50

rayvanmechelen

Dylan Dietrich — $0

Trade on Polymarket