Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Monastir: Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos
11 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Pedro Vives Marcos (92%) · Pedro Vives Marcos at 100¢ · $15K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
12
Pedro Vives Marcos 92%
1 arb excluded
$15.0K
$4.4K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH thirdt1me | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 68.6¢ | $4.8K | $6.1K | +$1.7K | 58% 231-170 (401) |
38 38791873984189 | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 67.8¢ | $4.2K | $4.5K | +$1.9K | 48% 72180-77921 (150101) |
FL Flaznorp | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 69.6¢ | $1.5K | $2.1K | +$624.01 | 52% 49502-46467 (95969) |
LI Limousin | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 82.7¢ | $508.78 | $514.67 | +$5.9 | 46% 2784-3230 (6014) |
MA MadridTime | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 88.8¢ | $491.35 | $491.76 | +$0.41 | 45% 2690-3266 (5956) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 69.6¢ | $311.05 | $446.86 | +$135.81 | 47% 2267-2575 (4842) |
TH thestingsnake | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 86¢ | $605 | $286.6 | +$1.15 | 60% 4654-3141 (7795) |
 0xheavy888 | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 69¢ | $157.71 | $202.28 | +$44.57 | 56% 9021-7117 (16138) |
VE VenusianARB<$100 | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 89.5¢ | $222.33 | $189.38 | -$32.95 | 45% 2757-3338 (6095) |
| └ Pedro Vives Marcos leg | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 89.5¢ | $142.98 | $140.6 | -$2.38 | |
| └ Yannik Kelm leg | Yannik Kelmavg 31.7¢ | $134.46 | $48.78 | -$30.57 | |
LO looppau | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 99.9¢ | $178.97 | $179.06 | +$0.09 | 99% 16244-134 (16378) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 74¢ | $17 | $9.62 | +$0.12 | 54% 10552-8958 (19510) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Pedro Vives Marcosavg 85¢ | $5 | $4.43 | +$0.18 | 45% 2685-3222 (5907) |
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR<$100 | Yannik Kelmavg 15¢ | $10 | $1.1 | -$0.4 | 46% 33777-39454 (73231) |
Invested
$4,789.79
Value
$6.1K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
58%
231-170 (401)
Invested
$4,240.46
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$1.9K
Record
48%
72180-77921 (150101)
Invested
$1,499.13
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$624.01
Record
52%
49502-46467 (95969)
Invested
$508.78
Value
$514.67
PnL
+$5.9
Record
46%
2784-3230 (6014)
Invested
$491.35
Value
$491.76
PnL
+$0.41
Record
45%
2690-3266 (5956)
Invested
$311.05
Value
$446.86
PnL
+$135.81
Record
47%
2267-2575 (4842)
Invested
$605
Value
$286.6
PnL
+$1.15
Record
60%
4654-3141 (7795)
0xheavy888Invested
$157.71
Value
$202.28
PnL
+$44.57
Record
56%
9021-7117 (16138)
Invested
$222.33
Value
$189.38
PnL
-$32.95
Record
45%
2757-3338 (6095)
Both legs:
Invested
$178.97
Value
$179.06
PnL
+$0.09
Record
99%
16244-134 (16378)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$17
Value
$9.62
PnL
+$0.12
Record
54%
10552-8958 (19510)
Invested
$5
Value
$4.43
PnL
+$0.18
Record
45%
2685-3222 (5907)
Invested
$10
Value
$1.1
PnL
-$0.4
Record
46%
33777-39454 (73231)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
thirdt1me
Pedro Vives Marcos — $6.1K
38791873984189
Pedro Vives Marcos — $4.5K
Flaznorp
Pedro Vives Marcos — $2.1K
Limousin
Pedro Vives Marcos — $514.67
MadridTime
Pedro Vives Marcos — $491.76
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Pedro Vives Marcos — $446.86
thestingsnake
Pedro Vives Marcos — $286.6
0xheavy888
Pedro Vives Marcos — $202.28
Venusian
ARBArbitrage — excluded
looppau
Pedro Vives Marcos — $179.06