Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
14
Over 83%
$2.1K
$-1.6K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Lilybaeum | Underavg 82.5¢ | $926.46 | $1.1K | +$194.14 | 61% 14368-9294 (23662) |
 RN1 | Underavg 82.7¢ | $841.73 | $1.0K | +$175.63 | 53% 61382-53692 (115074) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Overavg 50¢ | $283.76 | — | -$221.88 | 58% 46712-33673 (80385) |
WI Winning2...CTR | Overavg 18¢ | $374.96 | — | -$374.96 | 33% 1153-2352 (3505) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | $41.25 | — | -$62.32 | 50% 28444-28347 (56791) |
CA CannaeCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $550.39 | — | -$550.39 | 53% 16808-14937 (31745) |
NM NM-PCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 64% 9928-5530 (15458) |
GC GC-PCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $170 | — | -$170 | 64% 9969-5598 (15567) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 9.1¢ | $32.68 | — | -$30.79 | 54% 9741-8133 (17874) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.5¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 47% 11734-13452 (25186) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 51¢ | $72.98 | — | -$72.98 | 51% 37678-36903 (74581) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 50% 25834-25541 (51375) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 25773-24474 (50247) |
PE pelik<$100 | Underavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 99% 4915-70 (4985) |
Invested
$926.46
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$194.14
Record
61%
14368-9294 (23662)
RN1Invested
$841.73
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$175.63
Record
53%
61382-53692 (115074)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$283.76
Value
—
PnL
-$221.88
Record
58%
46712-33673 (80385)
Invested
$374.96
Value
—
PnL
-$374.96
Record
33%
1153-2352 (3505)
Invested
$41.25
Value
—
PnL
-$62.32
Record
50%
28444-28347 (56791)
Invested
$550.39
Value
—
PnL
-$550.39
Record
53%
16808-14937 (31745)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
64%
9928-5530 (15458)
Invested
$170
Value
—
PnL
-$170
Record
64%
9969-5598 (15567)
Invested
$32.68
Value
—
PnL
-$30.79
Record
54%
9741-8133 (17874)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
47%
11734-13452 (25186)
Invested
$72.98
Value
—
PnL
-$72.98
Record
51%
37678-36903 (74581)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
50%
25834-25541 (51375)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
25773-24474 (50247)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
99%
4915-70 (4985)