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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Pain | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (294–180, n=474) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $247K | $7.7M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #486 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 54% (33 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 23% of 73) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 50% of 117) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 82% of 137) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 98% of 125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Pain | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $12K | Bears $7.8K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $82 | Bears $792 |