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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Pain | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (294–180, n=474) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $247K | $7.7M | $4.1M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #478 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 73% (93 of 127 open) | 57% (35 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 23% of 73) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 50% of 117) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 82% of 137) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 98% of 125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Pain | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.4K | Over $136 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Penguins vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Ducks | — | — | Penguins $14 | Ducks $966 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Nets $155 | Mavericks $763 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $701 | Over $11 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $500 | Bucks $199 |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $555 | Over $47 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $222 | Over $251 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6 | Over $29 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | — | Coco Gauff $17K | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Celtics vs. Bucks same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $7.3K | Celtics $33K |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $12K | — | Bears $27K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $612 |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | — | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $4.5K | Yes $2.1K |
| Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.7K | Over $1.0K |
| Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | No $7 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $2.5K | Mavericks $1.7K |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $2.2K | Celtics $1.3K |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $2.0K | Celtics $1.5K |
| Spread: Celtics (-30.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | — | Bucks $3.3K | Bucks $112 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Mavericks $2.2K | Mavericks $1.0K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Mavericks $1.9K | Mavericks $1.1K |
| Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Pittsburgh Panthers same side · consensus Pittsburgh Panthers | — | — | Pittsburgh Panthers $1.1K | Pittsburgh Panthers $953 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-11.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Mavericks $1.2K | Mavericks $627 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $305 | Celtics $1.2K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Mavericks $757 | Mavericks $577 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $96 | — | Bears $877 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Giles Hussey | — | — | Giles Hussey $370 | Giles Hussey $24 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $177 | Under $41 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4 | No $26 |