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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-PainBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (294–180, n=474)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$247K$7.7M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #486PM monthly #1PM monthly #44PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)83% (29 of 35 open)40% (2 of 5 open)57% (39 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 23% of 73)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 50% of 117)36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 82% of 137)35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 98% of 125)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-PainBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $12KBears $5.8KBears $25K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KOver $16K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $1.5KBears $8.1K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $28Buccaneers $2.8K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $11KOver $1.0K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $96—Bears $877