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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Pain | BreakTheBank | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (294–180, n=474) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $247K | $7.7M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #489 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #55 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 85% (29 of 34 open) | 88% (7 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 23% of 73) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 50% of 117) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 82% of 137) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 98% of 125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Pain | BreakTheBank | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | T1 $2 | — | Bilibili Gaming $722K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $14K | — | T1 $863K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $3.9K | — | Bilibili Gaming $4.2K |