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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-PainprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)62% (294–180, n=474)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$247K$3.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #489PM monthly #48PM monthly #55
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)88% (7 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 23% of 73)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 50% of 117)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 82% of 137)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 98% of 125)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-PainprimmS-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
T1 $2—Bilibili Gaming $722K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $14K—T1 $863K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $3.9K—Bilibili Gaming $4.2K