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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241extractive-manateendb1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)35% (510–968, n=1478)66% (875–459, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$3.5M$44K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373was PM monthly #996PM monthly #25
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position46% (17 of 37 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −1 pts, n=322NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 75% of 8)71% (won 5% of 1111)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 93% of 29)12% (won 42% of 185)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)8% (won 64% of 130)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 96% of 27)9% (won 91% of 144)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241extractive-manateendb1
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1.0KYes $5.5K
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $171No $3
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $141Yes $5
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $5
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
——No $146No $675