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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 35% (511–968, n=1479) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $44K | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 52% (15 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (27 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=322 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 71% (won 5% of 1111) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 12% (won 42% of 185) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 9% (won 91% of 144) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.0K | — | Yes $5.6K |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $130 | — | No $3 |
| Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $116 | — | Yes $5 |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | No $5 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | — | No $348 | — | No $675 |