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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00primmRN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)42% (1921–2609, n=4530)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$14.9M$43K
Tracked as—PM monthly #41PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #298
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (16 of 28 open)60% (21 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 1244 at avg 67¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)9% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)27% (won 100% of 334)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)14% (won 100% of 180)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)50% (won 100% of 620)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00primmRN1Venusian
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie
——Cameron Norrie $19KJames Duckworth $89
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
same side · consensus Massimo Giunta
——Massimo Giunta $1.8KMassimo Giunta $2.5K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Tomas Machac
——Borna Gojo $502Borna Gojo $60
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
——No $21No $39