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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)52% (981–901, n=1882)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)56% (101–79, n=180)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$21K$13.4M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #719PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won100% of 940 at avg 57¢, ROI +48%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 96% of 28)10% (won 57% of 2537)7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 303)22% (won 94% of 5518)26% (won 93% of 29)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 99% of 388)36% (won 99% of 8928)42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 221)32% (won 100% of 7821)24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $5.4KNo $7.7K——