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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (829–780, n=1609)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$226K$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #245was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won99% of 826 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 75% of 4)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 304)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 99% of 510)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 75% of 8)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492beachboy4BreakTheBank
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $36K—Raiders $171K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $13K—Cardinals $35K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25K—No $35K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8.7K—Yes $37K