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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702beachboy4CORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (168–314, n=482)68% (43–20, n=63)61% (395–248, n=643)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL$34K$5.8M$194K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #138was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus42% (18 of 43 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position55% (26 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=174NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won61% of 1344 at avg 61¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 495)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 35% of 31)30% (won 57% of 63)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 84% of 31)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 787)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.