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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (414–501, n=915)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (13877–15390, n=29267)
Consensus PnL$69K—$9.4M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #482—PM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (95 of 144 open)no open consensus position71% (24 of 34 open)50% (13 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicEntertainment −4 pts, n=77———
Settled positions, side won61% of 1916 at avg 61¢, ROI +8%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 702)—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 43% of 46)—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 76% of 67)—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 99% of 1101)—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.