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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xfFFF6537BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (38–40, n=78)100% (2–0, n=2)60% (12–8, n=20)68% (313–146, n=459)
Consensus PnL-$384K$6.1K$779K-$105K
Tracked asPM monthly #39was PM monthly #613PM monthly #1PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus45% (5 of 11 open)no open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)63% (27 of 43 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)—11% (won 69% of 36)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)—35% (won 97% of 116)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)—37% (won 99% of 124)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)—17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xfFFF6537BreakTheBankRN1
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Francisco Comesana $91K——Marco Cecchinato $43K
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $20K—Ciryl Gane $45K—
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4——Under $18