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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xfFFF6537Flaznorpgoogleplay
Record (consensus markets)49% (67–71, n=138)100% (3–0, n=3)75% (753–254, n=1007)50% (5–5, n=10)
Consensus PnL-$415K$9.9K$72K$430K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #737PM monthly #14PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)no open consensus position72% (135 of 188 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 4 at avg 74¢, ROI −40%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%31% (won 9% of 66)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)0%27% (won 45% of 56)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 68% of 28)80% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)50% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 97% of 61)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xfFFF6537Flaznorpgoogleplay
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.3K—No $15K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $9.2K—Knicks $183—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Karolina Muchova
Karolina Muchova $14K—Karolina Muchova $5.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
Aryna Sabalenka $17K—Aryna Sabalenka $2.0K—
Lima: Tristan Boyer vs Ryo Tabata
same side · consensus Tristan Boyer
Tristan Boyer $5.0K—Tristan Boyer $3.2K—
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $4.1K—Cavaliers $493—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95—Vikings $6—