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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 82% (336–72, n=408) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$561K | $3.5M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #451 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 74% (234 of 316 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $200K | Yes $9.9K | Yes $40K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | No $9.9K | No $47K | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $13K | — | Under $3.1K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7K | — | Casper Ruud $8.2K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $81 | — | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $3.5K | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $530 | — | Over $211 | — |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $142 | — | Yes $991K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $128K | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | — | No $49K | — |
| Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $38 | — | No $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | PFK CSKA Sofia $17 | — | PFK CSKA Sofia $1.8K | — |