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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | FatsLivesMatter | gmpm2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 52% (15–14, n=29) | 50% (2–2, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | -$252K | $822K | -$1.6K | -$6.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #918 | PM monthly #32 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (15 of 34 open) | 47% (8 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 88% of 16 at avg 57¢, ROI +24% | 56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 25% (won 75% of 4) | 33% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 69% (won 91% of 11) | 56% (won 40% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | FatsLivesMatter | gmpm2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $227K | Ciryl Gane $325K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $150 | Lakers $2.0K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Nets $169 | Nets $193K | — | — |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $244 | Pacers $14K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $7.4K | Pacers $2.4K | — | — |