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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | shineforever | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6618–6146, n=12764) | 53% (72–63, n=135) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.6M | $137K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #222 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (120 of 160 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 38% of 123 at avg 36¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 63% (won 4% of 77) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 2% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 2% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | shineforever |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $40K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $610 | Yes $14K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari | Aliaksandra Sasnovich $281 | — | Maria Sakkari $12K | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $254 | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $263 | Yes $11K |
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $324 | Yes $9.8K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | Polina Kudermetova $3.9K | — | Janice Tjen $4.8K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $494 | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $277 | Yes $1.3K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $59K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |