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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-Pndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)46% (560–666, n=1226)46% (1167–1345, n=2512)65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$11.2M-$9.9K$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2PM monthly #607PM monthly #149
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)50% (11 of 22 open)74% (84 of 114 open)74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 81% of 57)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)36% (won 98% of 201)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 99% of 196)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)19% (won 100% of 109)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-Pndb1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $45KNo $5.6K——
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $5.3K—Tom Gentzsch $12—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $765KNo $22—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $160K—Yes $2.5K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $56KYes $3.8K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $711—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $372Yes $8.9K——