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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HVAB | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 80% (626–160, n=786) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | $440K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #669 | PM monthly #91 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | 77% (27 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (54 of 75 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 703 at avg 78¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 13% of 31) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 8% (won 57% of 56) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 18% (won 72% of 128) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 69% (won 95% of 488) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HVAB | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $55K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens same side · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $36K | Ravens $292K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | Ravens $194K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | Ravens $293 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |