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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankJabJabichndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)60% (175–115, n=290)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$103K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #3PM monthly #283PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus73% (19 of 26 open)81% (25 of 31 open)63% (10 of 16 open)69% (61 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%86% of 201 at avg 59¢, ROI +13%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)7% (won 64% of 14)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)18% (won 81% of 36)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 85% of 98)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)26% (won 96% of 53)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankJabJabichndb1
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $51K——
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1—Yes $1.0M
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407K—No $335K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $111K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $72K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $5.7K——Dplus KIA $226