Consensus PnL $123K · win rate 67% (166–80, n=246) · PM monthly #249 · holds 18 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$123.1K
Record
166W / 80L
Win Rate
67.0%
of 246 settled
Batting Avg
27.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#623
Source
PM monthly #249
Record (90 d)
11/11 · 100%
Trades
4,815
Markets
283
Volume
$843.2K
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Top consensus positions
18 in listed consensus markets · 9 of 18 on the consensus side (50%)- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $9.0K · now 97¢ · in at 31¢with the consensus (26% of 31)
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $7.0K · now 94¢ · in at 21¢with the consensus (42% of 28)
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?Yes $6.3K · now 97¢ · in at 30¢with the consensus (41% of 29)
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $6.1K · now 97¢ · in at 29¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $6.1K · now 95¢ · in at 30¢with the consensus (53% of 20)
- Will Japan win Group F at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?No $5.4K · now 98¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (75% of 5)
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $4.5K · now 96¢ · in at 24¢against the consensus (No)
- Spread: Abha Saudi Club (-2.5)Abha Saudi Club $3.0K · now 46¢ · in at 9¢against the consensus (Al Shabab Saudi Club)
Specialties
188 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 59¢- Soccer
+54 pts
side won 100% of 32 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +47%
- Esports
+21 pts
side won 84% of 154 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 82% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 19%(won 81% of 36)
- 50–70¢: 51%(won 84% of 95)
- 70¢ and up: 24%(won 96% of 46)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.