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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankRN1xyz.eww
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)46% (560–665, n=1225)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)59% (17–12, n=29)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$11.2M$14.8M$18K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #804
Sides with the consensus69% (9 of 13 open)48% (10 of 21 open)67% (113 of 168 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +21 pts n=12, ROI +26%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%62% of 26 at avg 39¢, ROI +23%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2538)31% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5565)42% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9017)27% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)19% (won 100% of 109)33% (won 100% of 8250)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankRN1xyz.eww
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $45KNo $15K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $6.3K—Learner Tien $16K—
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $3.4K—Tom Gentzsch $1.7K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
same side · consensus Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur $3.9K—Alex de Minaur $14K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $342Yes $16K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maya Joint
Maya Joint $469—Maya Joint $12K—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $185—Over $82—