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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (4842–4042, n=8884) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (118–70, n=188) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $8.4M | -$46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #926 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (8 of 17 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 63% of 180 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 59% (won 54% of 106) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $18K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $20 | No $32K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — |