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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | mildwindow27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (36–35, n=71) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 71% (5–2, n=7) | 100% (3–0, n=3) |
| Consensus PnL | -$374K | $779K | -$22 | $5 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #496 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 93% (152 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | Elections ±0 pts, n=392 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 40% of 964 at avg 42¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 57% (won 1% of 546) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 2% (won 59% of 22) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 4% (won 59% of 37) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 37% (won 97% of 359) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | mildwindow27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $21 | No $62 |