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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | Winning2... | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3295, n=7816) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 31% (889–1939, n=2828) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$24K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #710 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 66% (19 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Mentions −31 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 31% of 3296 at avg 31¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 52% (won 19% of 1708) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 39% (won 39% of 1283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 9% (won 61% of 282) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 1% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | Winning2... |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $73K | — | — |