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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Catch8877fantasy7788Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)44% (47–59, n=106)100% (1–0, n=1)100% (3–0, n=3)75% (677–224, n=901)
Consensus PnL-$550K$5.0K$260K$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #360PM monthly #82PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus82% (9 of 11 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)60% (72 of 120 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21——Soccer −8 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%87% of 138 at avg 59¢, ROI +29%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)3% (won 50% of 4)0%34% (won 10% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)24% (won 85% of 33)50% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 29% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)49% (won 87% of 67)50% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 55% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)25% (won 94% of 34)0%34% (won 83% of 30)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Catch8877fantasy7788Flaznorp
Magic vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $12K—Kings $6.5KMagic $28K
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $12K——Magic $530
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $2.0K——Trail Blazers $2.7K
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $117K——Magic $892
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $6.9K——Kings $2.0K
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
same side · consensus Team Falcons
Team Falcons $1.0K——Team Falcons $9