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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FKMYFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–67, n=126)no settled market75% (732–246, n=978)45% (193–240, n=433)
Consensus PnL-$296K—$69K$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #800PM monthly #14PM monthly #43
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position67% (57 of 85 open)83% (10 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)—34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)—19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)—13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)—34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FKMYFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $202K—G2 $5G2 $2.2K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
——Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KCasper Ruud $5.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
——Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $458
LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights
opposite sides · consensus LG Sakers
——Seoul Knights $1.8KLG Sakers $841
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $191——Jurij Rodionov $17K
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
——Sumit Nagal $1.2KSumit Nagal $8.7K