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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FakeMadridjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)59% (909–626, n=1535)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$1.3M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68Hand-pickedPM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position59% (79 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NBA +8 pts n=260, ROI +4%
  • NFL +24 pts n=17, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=872, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134MLB −1 pts, n=39——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%61% of 1475 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)9% (won 16% of 131)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)28% (won 48% of 417)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 62% of 519)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)28% (won 85% of 408)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FakeMadridjoseph00677RN1
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K——No $8.3K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $870——Renata Zarazua $482
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $106——Yes $1
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K——Under $14
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $2.3K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773——No $1.5K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29——No $315
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161——No $95