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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FatsLivesMatter | googleplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (52–60, n=112) | 50% (9–9, n=18) | 43% (3–4, n=7) | 67% (455–225, n=680) |
| Consensus PnL | -$527K | -$1.8K | $353K | -$137K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #918 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (9 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 44% (12 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 85% of 13 at avg 57¢, ROI +21% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 15% (won 50% of 2) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 77% (won 90% of 10) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FatsLivesMatter | googleplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $491K | — | Trail Blazers $46K | Trail Blazers $21K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $4.1K | — | — | Trail Blazers $178 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $4.4K | — | — | Thunder $301 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $307 | — | — | Trail Blazers $1.6K |