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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpG.Hchenndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)68% (376–175, n=551)63% (993–577, n=1570)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$71K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #626PM monthly #94
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)69% (119 of 173 open)62% (23 of 37 open)70% (51 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Finance −27 pts, n=10NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%70% of 538 at avg 56¢, ROI +15%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)14% (won 25% of 73)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)24% (won 60% of 131)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)34% (won 81% of 183)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)28% (won 85% of 151)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpG.Hchenndb1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4KAlexandra Eala $23K——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $238——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494——
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Pokhara Avengers
opposite sides · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
Chitwan Rhinos $341Pokhara Avengers $24——
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.2KYes $40——
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Mai Hontama $724Mai Hontama $3.9K——
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $740Yes $2.5K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus BetBoom Team
FURIA $355FURIA $239——