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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)75% (735–246, n=981)66% (479–242, n=721)82% (23–5, n=28)
Consensus PnL-$304K$68K-$140K$8.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #562
Sides with the consensus25% (2 of 8 open)69% (61 of 89 open)100% (3 of 3 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—Esports −11 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%70% of 23 at avg 64¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 12)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)13% (won 100% of 26)26% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)30% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)51% (won 100% of 105)39% (won 89% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1whosay
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5.9K—Under $5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $141—Yes $222
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Pedro Martinez
Jurij Rodionov $20KJurij Rodionov $6.3K——
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $912—No $314
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $315Buvaysar Gadamauri $2—