Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpS-WorksUnit70
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)75% (2552–856, n=3408)34% (20–38, n=58)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$1.4M$3.6M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #68PM monthly #816
Sides with the consensus50% (13 of 26 open)65% (144 of 222 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NFL −24 pts, n=12Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%52% of 33 at avg 35¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)30% (won 9% of 919)6% (won 14% of 145)45% (won 27% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)15% (won 37% of 455)16% (won 48% of 367)33% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 60% of 509)21% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)42% (won 94% of 1302)55% (won 96% of 1235)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpS-WorksUnit70
Altamura Societa' Sportiva SRL vs. Cavese 1919: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $16KUnder $1.1K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $2.9KTomas Etcheverry $4.6K——
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Max Houkes $1Tom Gentzsch $5.2K——
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $44KClement Tabur $2.1K——
Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Robert Strombachs
same side · consensus Moise Kouame
Moise Kouame $15KMoise Kouame $944——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.2KYes $2.8K——