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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677TheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3296, n=7817)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)45% (10–12, n=22)69% (183–84, n=267)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$5.3M-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #2was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)71% (232 of 328 open)no open consensus position52% (94 of 182 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 33% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)14% (won 84% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)12% (won 90% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)62% (won 99% of 110)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677TheWindKnowsmyName
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $51K——No $1.3K
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $20KLorenzo Musetti $18K——
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $475No $2.4K——
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $1.1K——
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9KOver $3.9K——
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.9KRider Broncs $171——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $105——Yes $2.4K