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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)75% (735–246, n=981)44% (193–241, n=434)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL-$304K$68K$16K-$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #45PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)69% (66 of 95 open)50% (8 of 16 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KCasper Ruud $5.2K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Monastir: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos
—Pedro Vives Marcos $1.0KJay Clarke $164—
W35 Heraklion: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Astrid Lew Yan Foon
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Zantedeschi
—Aurora Zantedeschi $867Astrid Lew Yan Foon $112—
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
opposite sides · consensus Anna Petkovic
—Anna Petkovic $435Tina Nadine Smith $298—
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
G2 $53—G2 $13K—