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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GC-Pndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)82% (5570–1213, n=6783)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$148K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #546PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)66% (108 of 163 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)6% (won 99% of 259)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)21% (won 100% of 895)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)22% (won 100% of 954)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)51% (won 100% of 2163)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GC-Pndb1
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $165KArthur Fils $918—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KJaguars $876—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $573No $1.3K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10No $799—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $89KNo $5.4K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44KNo $7.2K—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $14KNo $979—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.3KOver $813—
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $304No $6.5K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.2KNo $667—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $3.3K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $206No $3.0K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $42No $2.9K—