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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)81% (5682–1305, n=6987)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.7M$148K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #13PM monthly #610PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus54% (20 of 37 open)69% (248 of 362 open)67% (63 of 94 open)73% (56 of 77 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4441 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 99% of 262)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 919)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 983)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2277)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pndb1
Celtics vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Hornets $604Celtics $49KHornets $200—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $494No $1.8K—
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $11Raptors $56Raptors $175—
Ducks vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Flames $87KDucks $59——
Jazz vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Jazz $30KMavericks $833——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $585—
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $14K—Mavericks $268—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $240——
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.3KYes $62—
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $514Over $1.9K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $1.9KHornets $430—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $351Yes $1.5K—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $614No $309—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $845Hornets $44—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Grizzlies $602Thunder $263—
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $209Yes $491—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $259Yes $312—
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $320Hornets $145—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $110No $156—
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $63No $190—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Mavericks $56Jazz $174——
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $175Yes $54—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $167Seahawks $7—
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $99No $65—
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4Yes $109—
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $77—
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus T1
T1 $368KT1 $40——
Spurs vs. Kings
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $220K—Spurs $1.1K—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12KGrizzlies $952——
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $10KNo $960—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8KNo $1.3K—
76ers vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus 76ers
—Cavaliers $5.1KCavaliers $407—
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.2KYes $1.1K—
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6KNo $807—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8KNo $1.3K—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.4KNo $494—
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $1.7K—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Cavaliers $2.6KCavaliers $108—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $960—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $522—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $583—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $258No $1.2K—
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $164—
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $874No $580—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.3KNo $78—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.3KNo $83—
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KYes $65—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $186—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $660No $349—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $739No $208—