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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HVABRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)80% (626–160, n=786)47% (13877–15390, n=29267)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$440K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #69PM monthly #712PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)no open consensus position52% (14 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +6 pts n=626, ROI +8%
  • MMA +14 pts n=20, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=39, ROI 0%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%84% of 691 at avg 78¢, ROI +8%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)4% (won 13% of 31)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)8% (won 57% of 56)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)18% (won 71% of 125)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)69% (won 95% of 479)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HVABRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Antonia Ruzic
Antonia Ruzic $12K—Antonia Ruzic $76K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $1.3K