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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHVABRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)52% (6434–5955, n=12389)80% (626–160, n=786)47% (13877–15390, n=29267)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$440K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #69PM monthly #21PM monthly #712PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)72% (130 of 180 open)no open consensus position50% (13 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +6 pts n=626, ROI +8%
  • MMA +14 pts n=20, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=39, ROI 0%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%84% of 691 at avg 78¢, ROI +8%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)4% (won 13% of 31)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)8% (won 57% of 56)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)18% (won 71% of 125)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)69% (won 95% of 479)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHVABRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13KQuentin Halys $861—Quentin Halys $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
opposite sides · consensus Harold Mayot
—Sho Shimabukuro $5.7K—Harold Mayot $232
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831—Yes $61
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8KYes $2.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249—Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42