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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 40% (3322–5086, n=8408) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$469K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #245 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 67% (459 of 682 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $13K | Yes $254 | — |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $868 | No $170 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $58 | No $950 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $69 | — |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | Yes $173 | — |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | Yes $58 | — |