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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | 40% (3385–5153, n=8538) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$465K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (15 of 22 open) | 70% (381 of 544 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (102 of 176 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | — | — | No $8.3K |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | Julia Riera $870 | — | — | Renata Zarazua $988 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $70 | No $945 | — | — |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $106 | — | — | Yes $9 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $25K | — | — | Under $14 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $773 | — | — | No $4.2K |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.0K | — | — | Over $2.5K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $29 | — | — | No $468 |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $161 | — | — | No $213 |