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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankHaradwaithjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)45% (576–717, n=1293)39% (3322–5093, n=8415)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M-$469K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #230PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)88% (22 of 25 open)73% (349 of 477 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Weather −6 pts, n=556—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)53% (won 3% of 2055)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)35% (won 98% of 204)4% (won 35% of 170)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)35% (won 100% of 202)5% (won 54% of 178)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)20% (won 100% of 116)38% (won 89% of 1442)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankHaradwaithjoseph00677
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4KNo $69—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $409KYes $378—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $78KNo $3.4K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $37K——
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $13K—Yes $106—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $372—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.7KNo $123—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $51—No $952—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $53K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KYes $75—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.2KYes $102—
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K—Yes $114—
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—Yes $35—