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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465LikaseentRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)44% (255–325, n=580)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M$31K$14.8M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #114PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus71% (17 of 24 open)61% (11 of 18 open)64% (128 of 200 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Soccer ±0 pts, n=23——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%41% of 331 at avg 42¢, ROI +1%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)56% (won 1% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)2% (won 14% of 7)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)3% (won 70% of 10)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 98% of 127)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465LikaseentRN1sainttroplay
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357—Under $157—
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268K—No $6.3K—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265K—No $6.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K—Daniil Medvedev $36K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $5.3K—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K—Laura Samson $5.5K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155—Under $2.7K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251—Under $379—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194—Over $81—