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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Multicoloured-SerfRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)47% (233–259, n=492)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M-$316K$14.8M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #14PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)68% (15 of 22 open)64% (114 of 178 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)47% (won 100% of 101)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Multicoloured-SerfRN1sainttroplay
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251Under $58Under $238—
Spread: UMass (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $369Ball State $10K——
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $357—Under $157—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Pacers $54Grizzlies $119—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K—Daniil Medvedev $36K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Novak Djokovic $3.3K—Novak Djokovic $30K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $5.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $15K76ers $240—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $13KHawks $430—
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $9——
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194—Over $81—