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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1S-WorksTeGeeLP
Record (consensus markets)54% (4948–4167, n=9115)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)75% (2552–856, n=3408)51% (71–69, n=140)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$14.9M$3.6M$611K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #66PM monthly #441
Sides with the consensus43% (9 of 21 open)59% (19 of 32 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%55% of 132 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)19% (won 32% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)38% (won 50% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)36% (won 66% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)8% (won 80% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1S-WorksTeGeeLP
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie
James Duckworth $346Cameron Norrie $14K——