Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465S-WorksUnit70
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)75% (2542–853, n=3395)34% (20–38, n=58)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$3.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #60PM monthly #791
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)50% (4 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%52% of 23 at avg 32¢, ROI +54%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)6% (won 14% of 145)48% (won 18% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)16% (won 48% of 367)35% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)23% (won 60% of 509)17% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)55% (won 96% of 1235)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465S-WorksUnit70
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
T1 $28Bilibili Gaming $154K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $316KT1 $863K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $632KBilibili Gaming $386K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $53KBilibili Gaming $744K—